Tuesday, July 7, 2009

Is One Crater An Out Of Date Business Model?

$800,000 hillside lots in a major forest fire area might seem excessive to some, but it wasn't all that long ago when such prices wouldn't have turned anyone's head. But fashions have changed along with the economy, and now all most people can do is look up and wonder what it was these people were thinking about when they dreamed up One Crater.

The American Institute of Architects have issued a study that backs up what quite a few people have been thinking as of late. This from an article in the Wall Street Journal:

"A new study out Monday by the American Institute of Architects shows that Americans have fallen out of love with McMansions. The 500 residential architects surveyed said that only 4% of their clients wanted more square footage in their homes this year, compared to 16% last year ... This desire isn't surprising, given both the recession and the fact that the most recent U.S. Census shows that there are 77 million people in the 'empty nester' phase of life, from ages 45 to 64, and 61 million in the first time buyer category, from 20 to 34."

Of course, somebody may wish to build a 1,700 square foot home on a lot costing the better part of a million dollars, but that probably isn't likely. No, One Crater literally screams out "McMansion!" And judging by the way those babies are moving these days, it would appear that nobody is listening. Who knows, maybe the place really is cursed.

Living Near A Freeway Isn't Good For You

Friends of ours have been staying at The Stuart, the often lampooned "Transit Village" that appears to lean against the parking structure attached to the Sierra Madre Vista Metro Station. They're only staying there for 8 or so weeks while their home is refurbished, but it has been quite an education for them. Needless to say, they can't wait to escape.

One of the truly awful aspects of the place is the noise. In true transit village style, The Stuart is located right next to our local manifestation of "light rail," the Gold Line. And since the masters of our somewhat diminished destiny have deemed that things like the 210 Trolly more often than not need to be located near busy roadways, the mighty 210 is part of that ambiance. Which for those living the less than fabulous transit village lifestyle means the endless roar of speeding vehicular traffic. But apparently there is an even more terrifying aspect to living in such places. This from Discovery.com:

"As famous for its traffic jams as it is for Hollywood star power, the Los Angeles, Calif. area has another dirty secret; Air pollution is sickening pregnant women who live near roadways, more than doubling their risk of premature birth, according to a new study."

I wonder if it has ever occurred to the urban planning community that the reason people flock to neighborhoods now referred to as "urban sprawl" do so because they know that living there is healthier? And that any efforts to move people back into the befouled urban core ala SB 375 will be resisted at least in part for that very reason?

Good News For Redevelopers! Sonia Sotomayor Is An Eminent Domain Fan

Apparently Barack Obama's very first nominee to the U.S. Supreme Court is a property snatcher. This from reasononline:

"Property rights were probably the last thing on President Barack Obama's mind when he selected Judge Sonia Sotomayor to replace retiring Supreme Court Justice David Souter.But that hasn't stopped Sotomayor's nomination from reigniting the long-simmering national debate over the use and abuse of eminent domain ... The controversy centers on Sotomayor's voye in a 2006 eminent domain case, Didden v. Village of Port Chester. New York entrepreneur  Bart Didden says Port Chester condemned his land after he refused to pay $800,000 (or grant a 50 percent stake in his business) to a developer hired by the village. One day after Didden refused to pay those bribes, Port Chester began eminent domain proceedings against him ... As University of Chicago law professor Richard Epstein put it, 'The case involved about as naked an abuse of government power as could be imagined.' But that didn't stop Judge Sotomayor and two of her colleagues on the 2nd Circuit Court of Appeals from upholding the district court decision that ruled in favor of the village."

Welcome to the brave new world.

26 comments:

Just the facts mam. said...

Star News, front page today,

Arcadia land-use
revisions call
for more density.

Enough to ruin a good cup of coffee. How ever we can do it Sierra Madre, lets protect our community from this. Keep up the good work Sir Eric.

Old kentucky said...

Good article this morning, Sir Eric.
It clarifies what we are trying to protect and prevent from happening.

Sierra Madre is a tiny town, 3 sq. miles. It can't tolerate over 11,000 residents.

Very sad news from Arcadia, Just the facts, just what they don't need, more density. The greed and corruption of elected officials is appalling.

This doesn't have to happen if the elected officials are looking out for the people who voted for them, instead of the special interests who put up the big bucks to get them elected and the "perks" these narcissist politicians get by being in positions of power. People all over California better wake up and see what's happening and take action. No....it's not comfortable.....denial is much easier....but don't you all see......the results of public apathy are disastrous.

Curly said...

The saddest part to what is going on in Arcadia is that there is no proof that buildings, particularly the high density variety, in any way produce less greenhouse gases than cars. When you include the production of electricity, the use of oil and gas for cooking and heat, plus the fact that you are just cramming more of that sort of thing into a smaller space, most scientists agree that high density development is far more detrimental. Plus people are going to drive their cars anyway. SB 375 has a lot more to do with the lobbying power of the BIA than it does anything to do with global warming.

Michele said...

All one has to do is drive west down Walnut in Pasadena and see the results of these 3, 4 and even 5 story "mixed use" monstrosities.
You can thank the voters in Sierra Madre for passing Measure V. It's not going to happen in Sierra Madre, neither should these hideous McMansions be built in our hillsides. If and when they are ever built.....it will be lasting shame on the City Council of 2005 who permitted it to happen against the will of the people of Sierra Madre. John Buchanan, Enid Joffe, Tonja Torres and Rob Stockly all put "special interests" ahead of the wishes of those who voted for them. It's just a shame!

Pasta said...

Did the officials who passed the high density revisions think about where the children who live in those building are going to attend school? The Arcadia classes are already very crowded and there is no where to build more schools. Just plain old greed.

Sierra Madre said...

Think of all the forces being brought to bear just to crack little old Sierra Madre. It really is quite a story. Let's hope it has a happy ending.

L Barlow, AIA said...

The freeways are the culprit here, not the Transit Oriented Development concept (TOD), which is part of the New Urbanism model. Transit, as in light rail and busses, with bikeways. Our wild west region here is trying to shift to the older urban model found in Europe and the East coast, and must abandon the high-consumption, overscaled lifestyle that has cost the region in its resources and generated pollution from overdevelopment.

However, this entire western region is saddled with the Eisenhower-era DOD Federal Highway program, with its legacy of purely auto travel that wiped out early regional rail around here (Red Cars) and allowed residential areas to penetrate into the foothills. The problem with SB 375 is that it uses the goal of reducing sprawl to create even more structure, which increases traffic no matter what urban form you adopt. Yes, this consumption model is bankrupt, according to an investor website:

http://www.investorsinsight.com/john_mauldins_outside_the_box_/archive/2009/07/06/make-sure-you-get-this-one-right.aspx

Bad Karma said...

Very entertaining conversation on Arcadia's surrender over on the PSN site. Go to the article and look for the conversation. Have fun! Scaggies are there pushing their crap.

Day said...

About living by freeways - the San Marino Tribune ran an article about an Alhambra city council member who was advocating for the 710 tunnel, and castigating previous efforts by South Pas to stop the freeway. Why? The council member says there is proof in the medical records of the people who live along the congested freeway that there are serious health complications. Why the tunnel is advocated as a relief from that is a question nobody asked. You'll recall from The Tattler's previous articles on the tunnel that even Doug Failing, a district director of the State of California’s Department of Transportation said, “That cancer and emphysema rates are higher near tunnels is absolutely a true statement.”
Looks like the question becomes, who's going to get the greatest health risks?
Those buildings at The Stuart look frighteningly insubstantial, and it seems likely that particulate matter could move right into those apartments.

Anonymous said...

BK: Went over to the PSN site, and yeah! Pretty good convo. Word is definitely getting around.

Sierra Madrean said...

From the PSN article:
"I think the update is just something that needed to be done to reflect the current conditions and goals and how we see ourselves grow, and it kind of dovetailed into SB 375," City Manager Don Penman said. "Cities are going to have to come up with plans to address that, but we're already in that process."

Let's make damn sure there's no "dovetailing" here!

Pete Yorn said...

It's nice to see that Don is pleased. Anybody remember the old Al Capp "Lil Abner" cartoon character The Shmoo?

From Wikipedia: "Shmoos are delicious to eat, and are eager to be eaten. If a human looks at one hungrily, it will happily immolate itself, either by jumping into a frying pan, after which they taste like chicken, or into a broiling pan, after which they taste like steak. They also produce eggs .."

Anonymous said...

I wish all the dirts who have no financial interest in downtown or hillside development would stop being Shmoos.....rehabilitate now!
You can do it. These people are not worth following blindly.
Let's take back or city once and for all from the grasp of Bart Doyle and the BIA and all the other State bureaucrats let's get out of SCAG asp.

Anonymous said...

The One Crater has some not quite as visible costs too. You'd have to have some pretty expensive insurance for fire, flood, earthquake, yeah? Wonder how the swells who would buy up there would like CA Fair Plan, the only carrier a lot of local folks can afford.

Yip Silanti said...

Obviously if you are concerned about the cost of insurance you are not One Cahtah material.

Anonymous said...

But Yip, aren't we talking every kind of insurance, and in great big quantities? Even the Cahtah Crater peops would notice...

Yip x Yip said...

I guess we'll just have to wait to see if any materialize. Hasn't happened yet. All that's happening now is they're pushing dirt back and forth and making a big ruckus while doing it.

Too bad there isn't any water up there. Be a great place to grow grapes.

Anonymous said...

There is water up there!!!
Underground springs.

Anonymous said...

Let me guess. The Stockly City Council set in motion events that allowed the building of McMansions right on top of our water supply.

Well, he doesn't look much like a genius, either.

K.B. Holmes said...

I took a walk up to 1 Cahtah, and it looks like the pads are ready, retaining walls constructed-from what I could see-asphalt base put down for roads, just a wee bit more than pushing dirt back and forth. Actually spoke with the fella in charge up their, seemed like a nice enough man, told me he has had a lot of local tradesman wanting to put bids in for work to be done during the project, kinda like Sierra Madres little own stimulus package.

Bad Karma said...

No news about anything being sold though, eh? All the tradesman in the world can go up there looking for work, but unless the lots up there start generating some capital the only thing that is going to get stimulated is the dust.

Anonymous said...

K.B. The guy in charge up there is a world class schmoozer. Everybody loves him. He's a survivor - brought in by Laing Luxury to work for Dorn Platz, and no matter what happens, he hangs on. Just following orders though. Can't hold hm responsible, right?

Anonymous said...

Maybe they just can't find anybody else to mind the dirt for them up there. Got to keep up appearances on those $800,000 plots.

Anonymous said...

Or maybe the longer the site stays like it is, the longer he has a job?

Anonymous said...

Good point. Explains the lack of porta-potties.

Anonymous said...

The porta potties are there - not that they're used, but they're there. Saw them beyond the green fence. You can walk up the road a ways now and check out the place.
Retaining walls everywhere - gotta keep that hillside up there!

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