Thursday, October 20, 2016

Paddy Power Is Already Paying Presidential Election Bettors Their Winnings

Mod: If you placed your presidential election bets this year with Ireland's Paddy Power, and you picked Hillary Clinton to take the prize, then your check is already in the mail. It's three weeks or so before election day, and they've already declared the winner. 

One of the biggest political betting markets is already assuming Hillary Clinton is going to win (Business Insider UK link): Paddy Power, an Irish betting market with a large presence in the UK, has already declared a winner of the US presidential election.

The market said Tuesday that it is paying out more than $1 million worth of bets on the Democratic nominee because it looks as though Clinton has sealed a win over Republican nominee Donald Trump.

"With national polls showing a healthy lead for the Democratic candidate and Donald Trump's campaign running into scandal after scandal, Paddy Power believes it's a done deal and that Hillary is a nailed-on certainty to occupy the Oval Office," Paddy Power said in a statement.

The move by the betting market comes as Clinton's odds have edged up in most models, including hitting 85% on the data site FiveThirtyEight's polls-plus model and 91% on The New York Times' Upshot model. She has also expanded her lead in national polls to an average of 6.9 points, according to RealClearPolitics.

Who in the world is Evan McMullen?
Mod: Don't look now, but there is a third party independent candidate for President who might actually get a few Electoral College votes. According to the polls McMullen has now become the leading presidential contender in the state of Utah.

 
Evan McMullin takes the lead in latest Utah presidential poll (Salt Lake City Tribune link): Evan McMullin, the Provo-born independent, has seized his first lead in Utah's fluid presidential race. The Emerson College poll, released Wednesday, found McMullin with 31 percent, followed by Republican Donald Trump at 27 percent and Democrat Hillary Clinton at 24 percent.

The last 20 polls conducted in Utah had Trump either ahead or in a tie. In this survey, McMullin's advantage is at the edge of the 3.9 percent margin of error.

"We are very excited. We are humbled by the support," McMullin said about the poll moments after accepting the endorsements of some Republican state lawmakers. "We believe this momentum will spill over into neighboring states both in advance of the election and beyond. We are building a new conservative movement and we believe it begins here.

McMullin has surged in the days since the "Access Hollywood" video emerged showing Trump caught on a hot mic bragging about groping women. Since then, Trump's numbers have fallen, McMullin has surged and Clinton has remained steady. CNN, Fox News and NBC all have now declared Utah a toss-up.

Donald Trump has stumbled while trying to capitalize on WikiLeaks (Los Angeles Times link): Hillary Clinton challenged Donald Trump in their final presidential debate to condemn Russian email hacking that she alleges is aimed at influencing the election. He declined.

Trump flatly rejected the findings of U.S. intelligence agencies that the Russian government was responsible for infiltrating Democratic Party emails, a major headache for Clinton in the campaign’s closing weeks.

Hillary, you have no idea” whether Russia is responsible for the hacking, Trump said, adding that the U.S. also has no idea about it. “I doubt it,” he said.

On Oct. 7, the Department of Homeland Security and Office of the Director of National Intelligence released a statement saying the U.S. intelligence community was confident that the Russian government was responsible for the hacking.

“These thefts and disclosures are intended to interfere with the U.S. election process,” the statement said. Moreover, they said, the hacking was authorized by Russia’s top officials.

Mod: Nobody should be too surprised at the possibly seditious actions of Donald Trump. After all, he is Putin's Puppet, and only doing as ordered.

sierramadretattler.blogspot.com

58 comments:

  1. One galling part of the debate was his comment that he did not know any of those women, relating to sexual mis-conduct.
    Of course, he did not know them! He did not care to get to know any woman. He objectifies women/girls like most predators.
    He does not defend any women's rights. He is the only person in the world who is always right.

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  2. ........BIGLY..."
    great grammar. go don.....
    you are a fabulous role model for our children and the rest of the world.

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  3. US Intelligence has proven all of this.
    But, trump knows more because he knows puttie.
    You betcha!!

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  4. Hillary refused to shake hands with Donald when the debate ended; something she negotiated before steping on stage. Putin's Puppet? He owns them both; but Hillary sold him the Uranium he needed for Nuclear Missiles; under the Clinron Foundation. Since Donald said he doesnt know him; that clearly makes Hillary the Puppet.
    Now Putin is the real winner. He can sell the Uranium to both Iran and North Korea to complete their Nuclear Missiles; they were only missing Uranium to complete their build.
    Hillary just gave those Countries the capability of being the power Countries of War. The United States has reduced its Military Capability under Obama.
    What are the odds now for Nuclear War in the near the future? The American people are the ones that have lost, under the Clinton greed.
    The Democratic Party will drone on about "hacking"; attempting to safe guard the new title of the foundation which is being dubbed today as the Clinton Criminal Enterprise.

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    Replies
    1. Time for our morning crazy.

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    2. I think 6:52 is upset because he lost his Paddy Power bet.

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    3. 6:52 - By the time you are old enough to vote, hopefully you'll better understand how the world really works. Russia has had nuclear capability for over half a century. So why suddenly would the US be Putin's sole source to 'buy' uranium... particularly when for decades it controlled neighboring Kazakhstan, the world's largest uranium producer?

      You're so naive I feel sorry for you. But Trump doesn't, in fact he is exploiting you. Just take it straight from him and his 'Art of the Deal', in which he is quoted: “I play to people’s fantasies...I call it truthful hyperbole. It’s an innocent form of exaggeration—and a very effective form of promotion.”

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  5. No gaming with the future of this Country. We've already had eight yesrs of Hope and Change ;how's that working for you?

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    1. Haven't missed any meals. Still haven't had to sleep in the car. Good enough, I guess.

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    2. Why do Trump supporters always run America down?

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    3. Life is pretty good here in Sierra Madre with me. In fact I'm beach camping in Carlsbad everything is Peachy. It's a beautiful day and a lovely life.Stop whining you're ruining my morning buzz

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    4. Hope and change has been great! I almost lost my home after the bush housing bubble but got a special deal my mortgage thanks to Obama. And I lost my job during the economic collapse, but thanks to my unemployment Sherance I was able to keep going. Now I make double what I used to make. Because we've cut down our expenses from bushes illegal and failed horrible wars our national debt is going down. I'm obamas not perfect but life is so much better now. Thanks for asking.

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  6. Correct me if I am wrong, but if Evan McMullen carries Utah it would make him the first third party candidate since George Wallace to get electoral college votes?

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    Replies
    1. Didn't Perot?

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    2. No. Ross got a lot of votes, but he never carried a state.

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  7. DETROIT NEWS: Trump lost it Wednesday night. Not just the presidential debate-But also his mind.

    Donald Trump lost it Wednesday night. Not just the presidential debate in Las Vegas. But also his mind. And any claim to be qualified to be president of the United States.

    You can’t say what he said an hour and 15 minutes into the final face-off of this campaign. When he responded to moderator Chris Wallace’s question of whether he’d accept the results of the election on Nov. 8 by saying he’d have to wait and see, the campaign was over for Trump.

    No one with such cavalier disregard for the Constitution and American political tradition can claim any right to sit in the White House.

    He proved what his critics have been saying about him: He’s dangerous.

    http://www.detroitnews.com/story/opinion/columnists/nolan-finley/2016/10/19/finley-trumps-noncommittal-outcome-last-straw/92445152/

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  8. Insightful words from William Saletan:
    Donald Trump is mentally ill. After 16 months of campaigning and three general election debates, this has become all too clear. Trump sees himself as the victim of a web of conspiracies encompassing House Speaker Paul Ryan, the FBI, the CIA, and the Iraqi military. He sees events in his life—women who claim to have met him, violence by supporters at his rallies—as tentacles of these plots. He refuses to accept the outcome of the election, and he demands that his opponent be jailed, not because Trump is cynical but because he is paranoid.

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    1. Next phase is Howard Hughes style isolation, then nervous ticking, then germaphobia… Oh wait he already has the last two

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  9. I love how the Clinton Criminals begin the defense of their actions and words : " I did not"...
    The DNC Chair, Hillary, Bill... !
    Donna B.; I did not leak questions to Hillary before the debate, Hillary ; I did not clean my confidential e mails from my Government Issued Computer in my home basement. Bill; I did not have sex with that woman who by thethe way, was younger than my daughter; when I was in the Oval Office.

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    1. Don't you ever get tired of saying the same old nonsense over and over? Get some new material, OK?

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  10. 7:48. Bill Clinton said he didn't inhale either.

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    1. Trump never inhaled. He just sucks.

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  11. Another Trump Accuser Coming Forward Today

    Another woman will come forward Thursday morning to accuse Donald Trump of sexual assault, attorney Gloria Allred said after Wednesday night’s presidential debate. Allred and the woman will hold a press conference at the London Hotel in New York City. Allred will specifically address Trump’s statement in the debate that “nobody has more respect for women than I do,” and his claims that the other accusers’ stories are “lies and fiction.” Trump has denied all of the allegations against him, which have mounted almost daily after a video emerged from a 2005 Access Hollywood taping. In that tape, Trump bragged about sexually assaulting women.

    http://www.thedailybeast.com/cheats/2016/10/19/another-trump-accuser-to-come-forward.html?via=desktop&source=copyurl

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    1. 8:14am. Are you in a Blue dress? and is your name Monica?

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    2. Why? Are you going to grab my pussy?

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    3. 8:23- Bill Clinton paid the price for his dalliances with women. Now it's trump's turn.

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    4. Just how did Clinton pay?

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  12. All you Trump supporters...despite everything he says and does...close your eyes and imagine President Trump - imagine him giving a State of the Union Address, addressing Congress, addressing the next world crisis. Can you really, really picture this buffoon as President of the United States - the one who claims the election is rigged? The Dodgers committed four errors last night, and lost a game. Trump commits error after error and still has his supporters. I don't get it.

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  13. Thanks Hillary; the Iranian leaders are demanding billions of dollars for the release of Americans being held hostage there. You and your boss created the pay for your life negotiations that will now effect all Americans traveling over seas.

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    Replies
    1. Thank God for Snopes.com
      http://www.snopes.com/2016/08/03/obama-bribed-iran-400-million-to-release-u-s-prisoners/

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    2. Snopes backed by Soros.

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    3. Donald Trump, backed by the KKK.

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  14. The President is out speaking to anyone that will listen today; in the attempts to salvage Obama Care.

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    1. Yeah, the Democrats controlling the Senate, House and Executive Branch is going to pose a big threat to the Affordable Care Act. If you really want to cite anyone for the continuation of Obamacare, you don't have to look any further than Donald "The Human Wrecking Ball" Trump. He just shot the elephant in the head.

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    2. Love your phrase he just shot the elephant in the head. How discriptive.

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  15. Let the great divide begin ! Some left leaning silk screener coined the phrase "Not my President "; back with G. Bush. If Hillary happens to "steal the election" that article of clothing will be in mass production.
    Donald Trump said he will reserve his right to contest. I agree.

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  16. I don't usually listen to talk radio Rush Limbaugh is going insane this morning

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  17. Al Gore and John Kerry contested their Election results.

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    1. Do you often stray from reality like this? Do we need to put a chip in your neck?

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  18. Short video of Trump angrily ripping up his notes last night.
    https://twitter.com/TheFix/status/789090575249125376/photo/1

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    1. Great negotiator? Man can't keep a straight face to save his life.

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    2. Like a muscle car- powerful in a straight line but can't handle the turns. Hillary totally outmaneuvered him last night.

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    3. Trump is extremely sensitive and thin-skinned. She had him blowing a gasket about half an hour into the debate.

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  19. Ever notice that Dump's wives never get any older? He trades them in, like cars.

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  20. The last time white supremacists refused to accept the results of a presidential election the Civil War happened.

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  21. Statement today by Karena Virginia, Trump's alleged 10th sexual molestation victim.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EcCg5U6361Y

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    1. Such an odd thing - in Islamic countries, there have to be 4 women to counter the testimony of one man. In our country, which is so much better on women's rights, it takes 50 women to one man. Last count, Trump is only at 13, so we've got a ways to go.

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  22. Trump sides with Putin over U.S. intelligence
    http://www.politico.com/story/2016/10/trump-sides-with-putin-us-intelligence-230100

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  23. The Hillary's America by D. Souza. A must see film.

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    Replies
    1. The new Michael Moore movie Trumpville is getting much better reviews.

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    2. Trumpland. Supposed to be available to everyone in the US starting tomorrow.

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  24. As I said earlier I'm at the beach camping listening to right-wing talk radio I can see how these trumper's are totally duped the announcers or hosts make up a fact and presented as a true fact and run with it the audience is stupid enough to never check it

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    1. Trumpism is more a counterculture than anything reality based. Facts don't matter, it's all ego and self-esteem.

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    2. They're all Murdoch / ailes drones.

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  25. 2:47 pm There is hope for you yet; keep listening.

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    1. It's not easy I listen until my blood pressure gets too high then take a nap.

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  26. Cannot wait for Saturday Night Live....
    Wait til poor donny sees those rigged Emmy's

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