Sunday, December 18, 2016

California's Final Presidential Election Numbers Are In - Clinton Carries State By 4,269,978 Votes

Probably not from California.
Mod: What follows comes from an excellent website I had never seen before called The Nooner (link). It was forwarded to me by a reader, to whom I am now grateful. What it shows is California, that great melting pot of a state with the 6th largest economy in the world, delivered Hillary Clinton her national popular vote victory over Vladimir Putin's foppishly coiffed boy toy. Of course, the Electoral College effectively limits each of us fine Californians to only two-thirds of a vote proportionally in presidential elections, giving voters in places like Idaho more say-so when it comes to picking actual Presidents. Some potatoes, right? Nobody said that being a second class citizen was going to be fun. Especially when you take a minute to consider some of the howling idiots we've all been so cruelly stuck behind.

IT'S A WRAP: Secretary of State Alex Padilla released the certified final results of the November 8 general election.

Turnout of registered voters: 75.27%
Highest turnout of registered: Marin: 88.96%
Lowest turnout of registered: Fresno: 66.73%
Turnout of eligible voters: 58.74%
Highest turnout of eligible: Marin: 78.91%
Lowest turnout of eligible: Kings: 43.51%
Historical turnout of registereds comparison:
1976: 81.53%
1980: 77.24%
1984: 74.93%
1988: 72.81%
1992: 75.32%
1996: 65.53%
2000: 70.94%
2004: 76.04%
2008: 79.42%
2012: 72.36%
2016: 75.27%
Voting method:
Polling: 42.21%
Vote-by-mail: 57.79%
Presidential: 
Clinton (D): 8,753,788 (61.7%); Trump (R): 4,483,810 (31.6%); Johnson (L): 478,500 (3.4%); Stein (G): 278,657 (2.0%)
Bernie Sanders write-in votes: 79,341 (0.8%)
U.S. Senate: Harris (D): 7,542,753 (61.6%); Sanchez (D): 4,401,417 (38.4%)
Turnout among registered voters was about average of presidential general elections since 1976.

The vote margin Clinton garnered over Trump is 4,269,978. The national popular vote margin is ~2.9 million, meaning California accounts for all of Clinton's popular vote margin, plus an additional 1.3+ million. Aside from the District of Columbia, California led the nation in the percentage of votes cast for Clinton. The top 5 states for Clinton were California (61.7%), Hawaii (60.98%), Maryland (60.33%), Massachusetts (60.01%), and Vermont (55.72%). The lowest for Clinton was Wyoming at 21.63%. The coal message really helped Trump in West Virginia, where he garnered 68.83% of the vote in the once reliably Democratic state.

The national average of the popular vote for Clinton is (currently) 48.08%.

There were 14,181,595 total votes cast for President. There were 14,610,509 total voters, meaning the undervote was 428,914 (2.9%). Thus, despite talk of people holding their noses out of disdain for the two leading candidates does not appear evident.

The undervote in the U.S. Senate race was 462,575 (3.2%), which means that the vast majority of Republicans and Decline-To-State voters cast votes in the race between the two Democrats in state's first test of voter behavior in the top-two system among two candidates of the same party.

While 2018 will see lower turnout and a modestly more conservative electorate, the margin that Hillary Clinton garnered and voter behavior in the intra-party race, it is extremely unlikely the California Republican Party and aligned interests, particularly in the business community, will prioritize the statewide races in our next general election. For good or for bad, this is an extremely Democratic state now--the most Democratic in performance in this presidential election. That doesn't mean it is the most Democratic state, but in performance in Clinton v. Trump, it was.

That means that the strong majority of Decline-To-State voters cast ballots for the Democratic presidential candidate. Also, as mentioned in the graf above, an overwhelming of majority DTS and Republican voters were willing to cast ballots for a Democratic candidate in the Senate race. That's not good news for Republicans.

A big question for 2018 will be, assuming San Diego Mayor Kevin Faulconer is the on Republican in the top-two primary and the main Democratic candidates are Treasurer John Chiang, Lieutenant Governor Gavin Newsom, and former Los Angeles mayor Antonio Villaraigosa, do GOP and conservative Decline-To-State voters vote for Faulconer (who will be very under-resourced) or vote for the Democratic candidate that most appeals to their values?

Mod: It would appear that the GOP in California has become a de facto third party. The first two parties now being the Liberal and Moderate wings of the Democratic Party. It may be a long time before another Republican makes a statewide November ballot here. Considering the bizarre and racially charged nonsense being pushed by the GOP nationally, that really shouldn't be too much of a surprise.

Majority Want Monday’s Electoral College Vote Postponed In Wake Of Russia Scandal: New Poll (Huffington Post link): A majority of American voters favor delaying the December 19th Electoral College vote until electors can be fully briefed on Russian interference in the election, according to a new poll conducted by YouGov.

The survey, sponsored by the progressive advocacy group Avaaz, found 52 percent of people supportive of stalling the vote, set to take place Monday.

A surprisingly high number of people ― 46 percent ― were also willing to support so-called “faithless electors,” the name given members of the Electoral College who spurn the vote of their home state and vote for a different candidate instead.

Trump opponents have been pressuring electors to break with their state’s voters, and a law firm has even offered pro bono, confidential legal advice to any elector curious about his or her options. Avaaz has collected thousands of signatures on a petition calling for the vote to be delayed.

Donald Trump won a fairly wide Electoral College victory on Election Day, but Hillary Clinton is on pace to beat him in the popular vote by some three million. In a sign of how divided the country is, however, more than 1 in 4 Republicans believe that Trump in fact bested Clinton in the popular vote. That belief may stem from a false claim Trump himself made on Twitter, when he said that he would have won the popular vote had millions of people not voted illegally. That came after a separate claim from Trump, that he could have won the popular vote if he wanted to, by campaigning in highly populated states like California and New York.

Mod: This probably won't happen, but wouldn't it be interesting if it did? Kind of like a death row inmate would find a last minute reprieve from the governor to be interesting.

Last Night's Saturday Night Live Trump Skit (Feat. "Pootie")
Video link here.

sierramadretattler.blogspot.com

76 comments:

  1. Donald Trump's government will be "for the benefit of knaves at the cost of fools."

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Thank God Hilary Clinton is not going to be the next President. Eight years of Obama was bad enough.

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    2. Yes. Our long nightmare of prosperity and high employment is about to end.

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  2. Trump went to Russia with his hat in his hand, a loser who couldn't get a loan from any western bank. SO MANY bankruptcies, so little understanding that they weren't actually "good business".. He was a pathetic, impoverished supplicant whose money in the future will flow from under the arctic sea, and belong to Putin.

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  3. The CIA must act, and quickly. Hell, they killed a president over much less than this. Do anyone there really believe that Trump will somehow find it in himself to be respectful of anyone else in government once his fat butt is in the Oval office!?! This has an Idi Amin situation written all over it. The time to act, is now. Legally, non-violently - but decisively.

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    1. Comey needs to be told by his handlers to "take care of" his little mess.

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  4. Get over it. Trump won. California is a 1- party state. It will only get worse. The Democrats know that because their policies are bankrupt bring in more people who are dependent on the government. Those people and the very rich who feel guilty about their money and are immune from the consequences of bad ideas are now their constituency. Thank God for the electoral college which prevents Los Angeles and New York City from electing the president every 4 years.

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    1. So why is it the Republicans can't elect anyone to statewide office in California? Out even get someone on the ballot, like in the US Senate race? Not saying the Democrats are all that good, but obviously the voters here must think the GOP is something far worse.

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    2. The electoral college and its racist roots
      http://www.freep.com/story/opinion/columnists/stephen-henderson/2016/11/19/electoral-college-race-problem/94079504/

      I think the reason 7:35 wants to take California and New York out of the equation is because of their high number of minority voters. The Electoral College performs the same function today that its slave owning authors originally intended.

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    3. I would not blame God for Donald Trump, 7:35.

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    4. 7:35 - If you're really thanking God and Being a true Christian, then you should feel guilty about money. If you don't you are betraying the word of Christ and will suffer in the afterlife.

      However if you're not a true Christian, then by all means continue with your rant.

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    5. I am having trouble finding a passage in the Bible. It says, "Thou shalt relieveth Granny of her Medicare." Can someone tell me where it can be found?

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    6. If you go to a Trump hotel and look in the nightstand, there is a book called the Bible According To Donald. It's in there.

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    7. Ditto. Thank goodness for the Electoral College. 2/3 of California have lost their minds.

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    8. Voting against an idiot like Trump is the very definition of sanity.

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  5. Electoral College members from Pa. issued state police protection: Members of the Electoral College from Pennsylvania say they are receiving thousands of phone calls and emails from around the world ahead of Monday's vote in Harrisburg, according to a report from Philly.com. One elector told the website that each elector has been assigned a plain clothes state police trooper for protection. "Such has been the life of Pennsylvania's 20 electors for President-elect Donald Trump since the Nov. 8 election," according to the report.

    http://www.pennlive.com/news/2016/12/electoral_college_members_from.html#incart_most-comments

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  6. If it wasn't for California or New York votes, Hillary wouldn't have had even a mention, she is so disliked and had no platform to stand on except lie and decit.

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    Replies
    1. She beat Trump by 3 million votes. More than Obama beat Romney. That doesn't show much Trump love to me.

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    2. California and NY shouldn't decide the election.

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    3. Why? Not white enough for you, Kluxie?

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  7. You must live in out in California, nobody else in the Country believes as you, unless your New Yorker.

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    Replies
    1. You'll find that states that have more people in them produce more votes.

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  8. In a Sierra Club Canada newsletter I get on line, there was the statement regarding the election of Trump

    "unthinkable..."

    It is the red states that will recieve the brunt of the environmental disasters that his administration/policies will unleash on the nation but we are all on this sinking ship.

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  9. The racist Electoral College provisions of the Constitution contradict the far more important and powerful equal protection clause of the Constitution and the Constitutionally protected notion of one person one vote, and therefore should be disposed of in the manner of the 3/5 of a person count insisted upon by the racist slaveowners.

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    Replies
    1. Playing the race card......and that's not racist?

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    2. I guess you can't comprehend, 4:06, that calling racist people, acts, and laws racist does not make the caller racist. Otherwise the term could never be used. Or is it your opinion that slaveowners and the laws that protected them are not racist?

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  10. Much better video quality for the SNL skit:
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3Ar80sFzViw

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  11. Hillary lost the election and will be found guilty for treason, IRS tax fraud, email fraud and bill will become a registered sex offender... Cheers

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    Replies
    1. Great. Phony political trials just like they do it in Russia. America is going to go to hell in a hand basket under Puntinist Trump.

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    2. 10:16, you are not listening to your leader. He was just teasing you in the campaign. Everything is okay now.

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    3. 10:16 - you were played.

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    4. This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.

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    5. When the going gets tough the Trumpies talk dirty.

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    6. 10:16. I hope you are correct.

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  12. Oh; I do enjoy a good laugh. Thanks to these postings, I am seldom disappointed. LOL.

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    Replies
    1. It is good to bring happiness to others.

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  13. Trump's win is the result of the resentment of the uneducated. And the clear failure of our schools.
    I have not been a fan of the common core, this great push to develop critical thinking - now I think it is absolutely necessary.

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  14. Finally the Country will have a President Trump that won't make policy, but will allow Congress to do it's Constitutional duty.
    With President Trump the Country will also see how a President supports discussions from both parties from the House of Representatives and Congress to reach solutions together.

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    Replies
    1. 10:55... lamb to the slaughter

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    2. Amazing to think there are people that naive.

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    3. ...well they voted for bush


      And Nixon

      (yulk)

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  15. Oh please, 1016 am! Is your Tshirt and cap beginning to itch? Maybe you should take them off and put them in the wash. Oh that's right! The Trump logo is printed in cheap Chinese ink. Better just keep them on until after the inaguaration.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Sore loser. I will buy you and Lady Haha a trophy.

      Delete
  16. Public education is intended to be the great equalizer. But education is only one side of the triangle toward feelings of self-worth: good housing and good jobs should follow if a good education was available to all. How much time in the school day can be spent on actitivities that lead to critical thinking when teachers are asked to be the parent, social worker, nutritionist, etc.?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Teachers should teach and parents should parent.

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  17. Better than being all washed up like Granny Clinton. Maybe the GOP should pay a penny on the dollar for all those fifty thousand dollar fireworks over the Hudson River that weren't used for Hillary. Oh, so sad. Didn't have a waste of glitter in the night sky.

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  18. Granny Clinton? Why is that the way you want to refer to her age? You are really trying to link that to some form of incompetence. Trump has grandchildren so how does this differ? Here is my one gender and age reference to all of this: we expect women to color their grey and it fits well with the female aesthetic and skin tone as one ages. A 70ish year old man that is not even confident to show grey at the temples only adds to the long list of phoniness. Actually that is it! Insecurity leads to all that hair dye, combover nonsense. Gack!

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  19. Very hairy of you to lump older citizens as incompetent, your words! Yes, they both are Grandparents.
    Very sexists remark with hair dye , men vs. Women. What do you think about wigs and hair pieces for men? Inquiring minds want to know.
    So Putin is greying around the temples. The Secretary of State choice, Tillerson is all grey. Obama is a mix of grey and dark brown. Trump and Hillary had the same hair style and color.
    Majoriety of voters just didnt like the way Hillary styled her locks.

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    Replies
    1. Read for comprehension 12:08. Give it another try.

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  20. Even if the Electoral Collage vote changed , the decision would then be brought to the House of Representatives which the GOP controls.
    Hillary, you lost.

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    Replies
    1. I don't care if Hillary lost. I just don't want that fool Trump walking around with the nuclear codes. Maybe the best solution is neither get the job.

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    2. 12:38 - you lost too. You just don't know it yet.

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    3. what could be worse is that Pence takes over - he's more insane than Trump

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    4. I agree, 3:41. Pence is more insane than Trump. How can we fight this before our country, and possibly our planet, is destroyed?

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  21. Classic Trumpian strategy- get you all riled up over meaningless drivel like the cost of unused fireworks, or hair dye... all the while the machinery of the billionaire elite is running at full speed to get the misinformed right-wing masses to nullify themselves. And the fat cats get fatter on their prey.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. There are two shows. For the great unwashed there is a kind of Reality TV. But instead of the Kardashians you get the Trumps and all of their shenanigans. For the people they really care about its all behind the scenes. Big oil, big military, big money. Enjoy the hair dye stories because that is all you're going to get to see.

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  22. The federal government must find the Clinton foundation guilty of its tax fraud. If they don't, then the rest of us, the true tax payer, will no longer be required to pay irs taxes either. The Clinton foundation does not get a get outofjail pass on this issue. ...

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Fake news from foolish fakes. Old, too. Haven't your masters supplied you any new material? Maybe they don't think you're worth the bother anymore. Have you outlived your usefulness?

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  23. Thanks Mod again for another play of SNL!!

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  24. No 2:05 pm. I fooled you and No Drama Obama with his hands on the Nuclear Football. Obama Care is out or in the very least will be re worked. I now will be included as "useful"; under Obama Care you are handed your end of life care booklet.

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    1. Obama has had the nuclear football under his care now for 8 years. I see that we are all still here. However, I suggest you start familiarizing yourself with that end of life care booklet now that Trump is taking control.

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    2. Yes, end health care for anyone earning less than $100,000 a year. Cull the herd.

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    3. Aha- so the trump guy is also a Palin disciple. Literally all of the extremist taking points you've cut-and-paste here the these past months have been disproven, many times over, before you've pasted them.

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    4. Trump Guy is like a parrot. He can talk, sort of, but he doesn't have enough material so he just repeats himself over and over and over.

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  25. Make America Great Again. Terminate yourself. Trump and Ryan, the real death panel.

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  26. PUTIN TO SING AT TRUMP INAUGURATION
    http://www.newyorker.com/humor/borowitz-report/putin-to-sing-at-trump-inauguration

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  27. 3:01pm. Just curious, what did you and your friends do for health care all these years before you earned $100,000 .

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  28. So, how is it that pres elect can tweet to the Chinese that you can keep the drone? This is an act of treason! Steal from the US taxpayer and oh well, I'm too immature to understand so I will pretend that we don't want it anyway!

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    Replies
    1. Everything Trump does reflects official Rusian policy.

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  29. 5:33pm. Alert*Alert** OBAMA is still President. Phone him and tell him the Chinese have committed treason with the Science drone not being returned. He's not at the White House, the family is vacationing in Hawaii, but Iam sure he could take your call.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. During their three terms in office George bush and his father collectively took over 1,050 vacation days. In his two terms Obama took about 220.

      You right wing extremists are always the loudest while being the least accurate

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  30. Yes. Russia is next door to China, but the Chinese are the ones with the confiscated drone.

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  31. There are exercises designed for elementary school kids to learn the differences between facts and opinions. Unfortunately that material is really phased out by junior high - maybe the assumption is that the lesson is learned and all is well. Instead, there should be a mandatory week for all schools, all levels, to focus on distinguishing between fact and opinion.

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  32. It is the opionion of this nation, witholding that of the "elites/alt left" and a fact, that Donald J. Trump is President of the United States.

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    Replies
    1. Clinton beat Trump by 3 million votes. Alt-Fools are a minority. The Electoral College must be a form of Affirmative Action.

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