Friday, January 11, 2019

Why Would Paul Manafort Share Polling Data with Russia?

Mod: Why indeed? Maybe because the Russians needed some data so they would know precisely where to direct their assets on the behalf of their presidential candidate, Donald Trump

Why Would Paul Manafort Share Polling Data with Russia? (The New Yorker link): On Tuesday, when news broke that Donald Trump’s former campaign manager Paul Manafort had shared internal polling data with Konstantin Kilimnik, a Russian business associate with ties to Russian intelligence, the through line between the campaign and the Kremlin began to look incontrovertible. The revelation came in an inadvertently unredacted court document, which was filed by Manafort’s lawyers in response to charges made by the special counsel, Robert Mueller, that Manafort had lied to investigators. According to the Times, some—but not all—of the data was already in the public domain. The rest came from the campaign’s own polling operation.

Trump, who famously eschewed polling in the early days of his campaign and told the “Meet the Press” host Chuck Todd that pollsters were a waste of his money, eventually had five polling firms working to get him elected. All were hired after Manafort joined the campaign, in March, 2016, without pay. Five months later, he was forced to resign when it was revealed that he had failed to disclose his work as a foreign agent on behalf of pro-Russia political forces in Ukraine. Since then, of course, Manafort has been convicted of multiple counts of financial fraud.

In June, Trump downplayed Manafort’s tenure on his campaign, telling reporters, “You know, Paul Manafort worked for me for a very short period of time.” But F.B.I. wiretaps show that Manafort continued his association with Trump long after he resigned. Manafort was also in touch with his business partner, Rick Gates—now considered to be Robert Mueller’s star witness—who had been Trump’s deputy campaign manager and remained a White House insider. But, even more significant, it was Paul Manafort who decided to hire Tony Fabrizio as the campaign’s chief pollster.

Their friendship dates back to the nineteen-nineties—Fabrizio and Manafort worked together on the Presidential campaign of Bob Dole. Fabrizio also worked for Manafort in Ukraine, earning $278,500 for the same type of work he would later do for Trump—polling and surveying to help elevate Viktor Yanukovych’s Party of Regions in the 2012 parliamentary elections. During the same period, Manafort dispersed five hundred and thirty-one thousand dollars to Kilimnik, his translator and fixer in Ukraine, for “professional services.” According to a report in Bloomberg about Manafort’s Ukrainian ventures, Fabrizio is included in e-mail chains with Manafort and Kilimnik.

Adam Geller, the founder and C.E.O. of National Research, a Republican polling firm that worked with Fabrizio on the Trump campaign, told me, “I honestly have no idea what was and wasn’t shared with the Russians.” In the final months of the race, National Research was responsible for polling in Michigan, Wisconsin, Missouri, and Iowa. By then, Manafort, whom Geller never had any direct contact with, had left the campaign. (Another polling firm employed by Trump was the Polling Company, whose C.E.O., Kellyanne Conway, replaced Manafort as campaign manager after he resigned.) But, for a time, Fabrizio was at the helm of Trump’s polling operation, and it was his job to share polling information with Trump’s campaign manager. The contested swing states that Trump narrowly—and surprisingly—won, such as Michigan and Wisconsin, were also places where both the Trump campaign and Russia’s Internet Research Agency focussed their efforts. Herein lies at least one answer to the question of why Russia would want the Trump campaign’s polling data: it potentially offered demographic targets for Russia’s bots and propaganda.

In her analysis of five million paid, issue-based Facebook ads—which covered such hot-button issues as gun rights, abortion, gay rights, immigration, terrorism, and race—during a six-week period of the 2016 Presidential campaign, the University of Wisconsin professor Young Mie Kim discovered that “the most highly targeted states—especially Pennsylvania and Wisconsin—generally overlap with the battleground states with razor thin margins.” These were ads placed by two hundred and twenty-eight groups, many of which were later linked to the Internet Research Agency. Kim also found that these efforts were calibrated to appeal to certain demographics. Low-income white voters, for example, were targeted with ads focussing on immigration and race.

An even more comprehensive analysis, by Oxford’s Computational Propaganda Project, which was released last month, shows just how pervasive Russia’s inflammatory targeting was. “On Facebook, the five most shared and the five most liked posts focused on divisive issues, with pro-gun ownership content, anti-immigration content pitting immigrants against veterans, content decrying police violence against African Americans, and content that was anti-Muslim, anti-refugee, anti-Obama, and pro-Trump,” the researchers wrote. The posts developed by the Internet Research Agency “tended to mimic conservative views against gun control and for increased regulation of immigrants. In some cases, terms such as ‘parasites’ were used to reference immigrants and others expressed some tolerance of extremist views.” These posts increased almost seven-fold between 2015—before Manafort joined Trump’s team—and 2016, when he, and the pollsters he hired, were guiding the campaign.

Not long after the election, in an interview with “Frontline,” Fabrizio offered a glimpse of how this data was gathered and how crucial it was to Trump’s victory. “One of the groups that we created early on in the campaign from the polling was what I called Trump targets,” Fabrizio said. “These were voters who wanted to change direction, wanted a new direction, weren’t voting for Trump, weren’t hardcore Democrats, weren’t hardcore liberals, weren’t hardcore Hillary supporters.” Knowing whom to target, where they were, and which issues resonated with them gave Trump’s digital team crucial information for its advertisements and social-media messaging. “We would report out to the senior team what markets those voters were concentrated in,” Fabrizio told “Frontline.” “In Florida, literally, if you changed four counties in Florida, twenty-nine electoral votes would have been off the table. Four counties.”

sierramadretattler.blogspot.com

53 comments:

  1. talk about dirty politics...smgdh

    ReplyDelete
  2. Americans Don't Want a Border Wall

    A new University of Maryland survey finds only 4 in 10 Americans favor building a border wall.

    “Fewer than half our respondents were persuaded by the argument that a wall would prevent potential threats from coming into the country and would strengthen U.S. borders. Nearly two-thirds, including 4 in 10 Republicans, were persuaded by the counterargument: Because migrants can always find alternative routes to crossing the border, there are better methods for deterring illegal entry.”

    https://politicalwire.com/2019/01/11/americans-dont-want-a-border-wall/

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I bet zero in ten even cared about the issue untill some banana republican strategist came up with the wedge issue to control people through fear

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    2. It's just a cooked up phony crisis designed to distract people from his upcoming treason trials in Congress.

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  3. Just saw this on CNN. Dump wants to take money from the funds for Puerto Rico and Texas relief for his wall. Money from the brown people in PR and a red state that has far to many minorities to fund a wall to keep out more brown people. Do you see a pattern here? Hint. Brown people.

    It has been allocated and he can't touch it.

    Such an evil ugly man.

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  4. President Trump Went to a Border Town to Prove They Need a Wall. Residents Say Otherwise

    President Trump spent Thursday in McAllen, Texas attempting to make his case for a border wall, but members of the Texas Border Coalition — including McAllen’s mayor — say an investment in a wall is the wrong choice.

    On Thursday, Trump hosted a roundtable at a McAllen Border Patrol station with Secretary of Homeland Security Kirstjen Nielsen, local law enforcement officers and local officials including McAllen Mayor Jim Darling. Displayed in front of the President was a table filled with seized contraband, which included over $300,0000 in cash, “gold-plated and diamond encrusted” machine guns and large amounts of methamphetamine and heroin. U.S. Customs and Border Patrol (CBP) agents pointed out all of the items were spotted or apprehended at various legal ports of entry and checkpoints, including Laredo POE.

    CBP officers also showed Trump blown-up photos of tunnels that were dug to get guns and drugs across the border. Neither border patrol agents nor President Trump explained how a border wall would help stop the flow of drugs through tunnels and legal ports of entry.

    McAllen Mayor Jim Darling, who is not affiliated with a political party, tells TIME that even if it was not Trump’s intention, the roundtable appeared to make the case for increased funding at legal ports of entry instead of the wall.

    https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/president-trump-went-to-a-border-town-to-prove-they-need-a-wall-residents-say-otherwise/ar-BBS5dzQ?li=BBnb7Kz

    ReplyDelete
  5. Maybe the butter in their popcorn was rancid?

    Ivanka Trump and Husband Jared Kushner Saw Vice — About Dick Cheney — but Left Early: Source
    https://people.com/politics/ivanka-trump-jared-kushner-saw-vice-but-left/

    ReplyDelete
  6. More reasons to dump trump. https://www.cnn.com/2019/01/10/politics/shutdown-effects-list/index.html

    ReplyDelete
  7. Blah, blah, blah, still stretching for Russian Collusion? Think we'll just wait for Giuliani to file his rebuttals.
    MAGA and again in 2020.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Giuliani? Really?

      Delete
    2. If Trump is counting on Crazy Rudy to save him, he might as well lock himself up now.

      Delete
    3. It's called conspiracy against the US with healthy doses of campaign finance crimes and obstruction of justice. Your Dear Leader is going down and going down hard. Many Are Getting Arrested.

      Delete
    4. Giuliani is godfather to Bernard Kerick who went to jail for corruption

      Trumps campaign manager caught giving campaign data to Russians

      Why would he ever need to do that?

      Delete
  8. "Frontline" Febrizio neglected to say that even after Hillary Rodham Clinton spent 1.4 billion dollars over her lifetime in politics and had all the media in her back pocket, she still couldn't get elected!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. But she did get elected. She beat Donald trump by 3 million votes. And Donald trump beat like 16 other republicans in the primary.

      That makes Hillary more beloved by Americans than any living republican!

      And trump has lost double than amount in bad business deals and backruptcies.

      Sucks to be you chump!

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    2. Whataboutism. Hillary has nothing to do with the massive crimes of the Trump Syndicate that are being prosecuted.

      Delete
  9. It would appear another lame duck liar has emerged from the sewer called The Republican Party / GOP / RNC. https://www.sfgate.com/opinion/article/Donald-Trump-is-the-world-s-worst-negotiator-13523911.php

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  10. President does not have power over government coffers- only congress does. His failed government shutdown is literally an impeachable offense.

    Flush that turd back into the swamp

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I know right? I'm amazed we've allowed one flat-out dumb dude to a) become prez; and 2) have a system where he and he only is in charge of hundreds of thousands of peoples jobs, paychecks, etc. and all for a wall? Absurd absurd absurd.

      Delete
  11. Excellent comprise, the money sent from the United States to the Central American countries for humanitarian aid should be instead used to build our new and improved National Security System and ports of entry.
    The Central America countries have shown that they don't help their people, just look at how many are leaving and heading North tiwards the U.S.
    So stop all aid and spend it where it will make a differance.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. The ‘differance’ dummy is back.

      The problems in Central America are the US’s creation. Aming other crimes the US overthrew gualemala’s Democratically elected government in 1954 - causing nearly 4 decades of civil war and genocide by us-backed right wing regimes.


      You dug your own hole fool!

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    2. Same for Israel!

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    3. Excellent compromise? More like idiot's bargain. You know nothing about the issues.

      Delete
    4. Excellent compromise? More like idiot's bargain. You know nothing about the issues.

      Delete
  12. Beloved by Americans; Hillary? Really?
    Thanks for a great belly laugh.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hillary was playing checkers in a game of chess.

      Delete
    2. And she beat all of you fair and square.

      Russian checkmate on you dumb trolls

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    3. It would have been more accurate for Hillary to debate Putin in 2016. Trump was just a Russian puppet.

      Delete
  13. Keep the Government shut down and shut down the programs that are taken advantage of by ILLEGAL IMMIGRANTS then maybe we will see those living in the U.S. illegally leave and go back to their own countries.
    Congress and Senate need to clean up their act and clean up this "ILLEGAL" mess.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Melania trump’s Family = chain migration

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  14. Dump or flush the trumpy but call a plumber first as it appears this turd will not go down easily. https://www.npr.org/2019/01/11/684300134/most-americans-call-shutdown-embarrassing-as-it-s-set-to-become-longest-in-histo?utm_source=npr_newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_content=20190111&utm_campaign=news&utm_term=nprnews

    ReplyDelete
  15. Posted late yesterday: This 1958 western TV episode about Trump the Con Man who wants to build a wall to protect a town must be seen. Too prescient. May even be about Trump's con father.

    https://talkingpointsmemo.com/news/1958-show-trump-sells-wall-to-townspeople

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. That’s been kicking around for a while

      But a good one

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    2. Where was it kicking around? The story seemed to break yesterday.

      TPM suggests the writer was targeting the Russian Asset's father, Fred Trump, a then known racist and con man.

      Delete
    3. Wanna say I saw it on HuffPost back in 2017.

      Worth sharing again!

      Delete
  16. Trump wants $5.7 billion for the wall, but the steel alone would cost $39 billion, with additional costs for fabrication, over a million truck deliveries, land purchases, installation, etc.

    Total cost: $100 billion. Insanity.

    https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2019/1/6/1824075/-Trump-s-Steel-Slats-Wall-Would-Cost-100-Billion-Steel-is-39-Bil-FOB-the-Mill-Land-Over-32-Bil

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  17. Wall money would be better spent on firewalls to protect US infrastructure from hackers.

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  18. To present a reason for Impeachment, this proves he has lost his marbles and is just plain crazy. http://deadstate.org/trump-praises-the-sale-of-fighter-jets-to-norway-that-only-exist-in-call-of-duty-video-game/

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  19. Ok, then give the Presdent $100,000 billion that's even better than a measly 5 billion that the Democrats wont spend inorder to putAmericansback towork, you know, the Schumer Shake Down or ah, shut down.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Haha
      Trolls all a sudden criticizing democrats for not spending money!!

      Fools!

      Delete
    2. $100,000 billion, huh? 12:58 + comment = numerically challenged.

      Delete
  20. Here is another example of a sick mind. https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/china-donald-trump-branded-without-us-congress-permission-trademarks-spas-escort-services-hotels-and-a7619136.html

    ReplyDelete
  21. Once a pimp always a pimp, Grandfather, father and now donny. I wonder if his or their wives or mothers were hookers too. https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/china-donald-trump-branded-without-us-congress-permission-trademarks-spas-escort-services-hotels-and-a7619136.html

    ReplyDelete
  22. https://www.pasadenastarnews.com/2019/01/11/ex-pasadena-employee-gets-14-years-for-embezzling-ordered-to-pay-3-7-million-restitution/

    wheels of justice

    ReplyDelete
  23. Don’t blame the democrats... the republicans controlled the Whitehouse and congress for two full years and they didn’t do it




    Total failure

    ReplyDelete
  24. You do realize that Senator Chuck Schumer refused to rent to blacks back in the late 70's early 80's dont you 10:56am?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. That would have been Donny Trump and his KKK daddy. Not Chuck.

      Delete
    2. How about a citation to a legitimate source, 4:16. Or did you just substitute Schumer for Fred Trump?

      Or maybe you meant President Shroomer.

      Delete
    3. You do know how to respond to a post directly? What is your malfunction?

      Toadstool

      Delete
  25. President Hannity's top Q3 2018 advertisers per FOXNEWSADVERTISERS.COM :

    Next Era Energy
    Bayer AG & Monsanto (Aleve, Alka-Seltzer, Claritin-D, Coppertone, Dr. Scholls, One-A-Day, Round Up, more)
    North Castle Partners (Jenny Craig)
    Purple Mattress
    Office Depot & Office Max
    Beaches & Sandals Resorts
    Enterprise Holdings (Alamo, Enterprise, National)
    ADT
    Zero Water
    Walt Disney Co (21st Century Fox)
    Amazon (Audible, Pill Pack, Ring, Zappos)
    Mitsubishi
    Nerd Wallet
    Weather Tech
    Ford & Lincoln
    Simpli Safe
    Mile 22, Peppermint (Film) distributed by STX Entertainment, funded by Liberty Global and others
    Sani 360
    Experian
    Carvana
    My Photo
    Publishers Clearing House
    Ship Station
    USAA
    HD Vision

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  26. Look it up yourself or is it you cant handle the truth?

    ReplyDelete
  27. Keeping the world bank in your back pocket.
    http://deadstate.org/here-are-the-7-republicans-who-voted-against-backpay-for-workers-furloughed-during-the-shutdown/

    ReplyDelete
  28. Just keep saying this to yourself.

    The FBI has enough evidence to open an investigation into whether the President of the United States was a Russian asset.

    ReplyDelete

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