Thursday, May 21, 2020

CNN: Trump will lose in a landslide because of the economy, new election model predicts (35% of the vote)

270ToWin.com link
Mod: New polling is starting to roll in and none of it is looking especially good for the Happy Hydrox.

Trump will lose in a landslide because of the economy, new election model predicts (CNN link): The economy has gone from President Donald Trump's greatest political asset to perhaps his biggest weakness. Unemployment is spiking at an unprecedented rate. Consumer spending is vanishing. And GDP is collapsing. History shows that dreadful economic trends like these spell doom for sitting presidents seeking reelection.

The coronavirus recession will cause Trump to suffer a "historic defeat" in November, a national election model released Wednesday by Oxford Economics predicted.

The model, which uses unemployment, disposable income and inflation to forecast election results, predicts that Trump will lose in a landslide, capturing just 35% of the popular vote. That's a sharp reversal from the model's pre-crisis prediction that Trump would win about 55% of the vote. And it would be the worst performance for an incumbent in a century.

"It would take nothing short of an economic miracle for pocketbooks to favor Trump," Oxford Economics wrote in the report, adding that the economy will be a "nearly insurmountable obstacle for Trump come November."

Poll: Biden holds 11-point lead over Trump (The Hill link): Former Vice President Joe Biden leads President Trump by double digits in the race for the White House, according to a new Quinnipiac University poll released on Wednesday.

The poll shows Biden with an 11-point advantage over Trump in a national head-to-head match-up. Fifty percent of those surveyed said they currently plan on voting for the former vice president, while 39 percent said they would vote for Trump.

Meanwhile, the number of voters who disapprove of his handling of the coronavirus pandemic rose to 56 percent from 51 percent last month. The president’s overall job approval is in decline, as well, falling to 42 percent from 45 percent in April.

Mod: Quinnipiac Poll on whether Americans consider President Trump honest: Yes 34% No 62%.

sierramadretattler.blogspot.com

38 comments:



  1. What the clown sent to the U.N. / W.H.O. in 2020
    When your just plain stupid you draft a scumbag letter together and here it is:
    https://www.npr.org/sections/goatsandsoda/2020/05/20/858911395/fact-checking-and-assessing-trumps-letter-of-rebuke-to-who?utm_source=npr_newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_content=20200521&utm_term=4590262&utm_campaign=goats-and-soda&utm_id=38299785&orgid=

    ReplyDelete
  2. This would make a lot of pepole happy. How ever we have the stupid electoral collage

    ReplyDelete
  3. Mrs. Betty Bowers Puts Kayleigh McEnany in her place

    After decades of being subjected to Jerry Falwell Sr., Jerry Falwell, Jr., Pat Robertson, Jim Bakker, Franklin Graham, George W. Bush, Mike Pence, and Sarah & Mike Huckabee, et al., it’s adorable that some people think Americans still regard “Christian” as a synonym for “honest.”

    Kayleigh McEnany: ‘It doesn’t matter’ when people call me a liar because ‘I stand as a Christian woman’ https://rawstory.com/2020/05/kayleigh-mcenany-it-doesnt-matter-when-people-call-me-a-liar-because-i-stand-as-a-christian-woman/

    ReplyDelete
  4. Overwhelmed and losing, Trump is melting down in a narcissistic rage: reports

    https://www.rawstory.com/2020/05/overwhelmed-losing-trump-is-melting-down-in-a-narcissistic-rage-reports/

    ReplyDelete
  5. G.O.P. Officials Quietly Consider Paring Back Convention

    https://dnyuz.com/2020/05/21/g-o-p-officials-quietly-consider-paring-back-convention/

    ReplyDelete
  6. I'm so proud of the Republican Party. They have the faith to come out and show their true colors. With the strength of our Great Leader our party to stand up and show the world where we stand. Don't Tread on US. China will feel the full force of our Military if they continue pushing with there piddly Navy. Our smart President is not going to allow fly overs and showed the WHO that we don't trust them. Any country trying to suck money out of the USA will not be getting any from us. Our President is a pillar of strength and will show the world we are not to be messed with. Trump is making America Great again.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I’m a Reagan, Bush, McCain Republican who refuses to vote for Trump. Technically, I’m still a registered Republican.

      However, I will be voting for Joe Biden.

      Delete
    2. REPORTER: The US has 4 percent of the world's population and 30 percent of the Covid-19 cases. What would you have done differently?

      TRUMP: "Well, nothing."

      Delete
    3. The US has 4% of the world's population and consumes 80% of the world's resources.

      Delete
    4. 9:01: I'm assuming that you are taking a creative writing course. Suggest you to tone down your campy Darth Vader rhetoric.

      Delete
    5. "Their true colors?" Like racism, misogyny and xenophobia. Shameful feelings that people used to keep to themselves. Trump made it okay to openly display these feelings.

      Delete
  7. Nearly 40 million are out of work but McConnell wants benefits to stop anyway

    As 2.4 million more applied for unemployment insurance, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell said he will not extend the added $600 weekly benefit.

    Another 2.4 million Americans filed jobless claims last week, bringing the total number of Americans out of work to 38.6 million, the Department of Labor reported on Thursday.

    The news comes as Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell has vowed to end the additional $600 weekly payment unemployed Americans are receiving under provisions of the $2 trillion CARES Act Congress passed in March.

    According to Politico, McConnell told House Republicans on Wednesday that the additional payments "will not be in the next bill."

    The $600 addition to unemployment payments is set to expire at the end of July.

    https://americanindependent.com/mitch-mcconnell-unemployment-insurance-coronavirus-cares-act-senate-gop-covid-19/

    ReplyDelete
  8. New York Prosecutors Believe Ivanka Trump Skimmed Millions From The 2016 Inaugural Fund

    https://www.politicalflare.com/2020/03/new-york-prosectors-believe-ivanka-trump-skimmed-millions-from-the-2016-inaugural-fund/

    ReplyDelete
  9. Any time a poll shows a challenger at 50% or more spells doom for incumbent. This is still way early but I will take being 11pts up over being 11 pts behind any day, The down ballot potential for a democratic tidal wave keeps building.

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  10. 62% think Trump is a habitual liar. 32% are looking for a bridge to buy.

    ReplyDelete
  11. The American Conservative: Why Trump Will Likely Lose In November

    With an ultimately unimpressive record, he hasn't made the right political calibrations to bolster his support.

    https://www.theamericanconservative.com/articles/why-trump-will-likely-lose-in-november/

    The political right is washing its hands.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. He'd better lose by a landslide - on every level he is a total failure.

      Delete
    2. Worst president ever. The scary part is he is not done yet. He continues to blunder.

      Delete
  12. I love how Trump gets to say the country is opening ahead of schedule when 2 months ago he said the country would be open on Easter.

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  13. This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.

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  14. Donald Trump is the leading cause of death in the United States.

    ReplyDelete
  15. Another poll is now out, same results.

    https://americanresearchgroup.com/economy/

    A total of 40% of Americans say they approve of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president and 57% say they disapprove of the way Trump is handling his job according to the latest survey from the American Research Group. In April, 41% approved and 55% disapproved.

    When it comes to Trump's handling of the economy, 37% of Americans approve and 59% disapprove. In April, 45% approved and 52% disapproved.

    Among Americans registered to vote, 40% approve of the way Trump is handling his job as president and 58% disapprove. On Trump's handling of the economy, 37% of registered voters approve and 60% disapprove.

    ReplyDelete
  16. 'Obamagate' backfires: Documents show Biden, Obama acted properly

    https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/obamagate-backfires-documents-show-biden-obama-acted-properly/ar-BB14jFdr

    ReplyDelete
  17. Researchers: Nearly Half Of Accounts Tweeting About Coronavirus Are Likely Bots

    https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2020/05/20/859814085/researchers-nearly-half-of-accounts-tweeting-about-coronavirus-are-likely-bots

    Look who is back ...

    ReplyDelete
  18. How are those sour crab apples tasting now all you (djt) dumb-a$$ supporters?
    Coronavirus-triggered layoffs in US hit nearly 39 million, in May 2020 - deaths are coming at nearly 93,000 don't worry there are plenty more for (djt) to throw up on the fires of hell he and his cohorts have created for the Unites States of America and the world.
    https://apnews.com/900aa1955a82b7bbe2e028a8bc1a4be7

    ReplyDelete
  19. I'm happy to say New Yorker's are getting back into the swing of things faster than a New York Minute. http://www.thesmokinggun.com/buster/coronavirus/flushing-avenue-frolic-275901

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  20. Wasn't it around this time that polls after polls predicted that Hillary will win in 2016? We don't know but the political world will turn upside down if he wins again as it did in 2016. This is similar to predict the stock market six months into the future.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. The polls were right and Hillary won the election by 3 million votes. Unfortunately this incompetent fool Trump was put into power by other means.

      Delete
  21. President tRUMP is a incompetent conman clown and he cares about nothing except himself...our country is in shambles because of the choices he has made...he hasn't made America great again, he's made us the laughing stock of the world

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I have never heard a more true and correct statement
      If the electoral college pits him back in office i see riots in tbe streets THE AMERICAN PEOPLE DO NOT WANT HIM AS OUR PRESIDENT

      Delete
  22. tRUMP is an incompetent conman clown who couldn't tell the truth if his life depended on it. He hasn't made America great again he's got our country in shambles by the selfish choices he's made...WORST PRESIDENT OF ALL TIME and it's not even close

    ReplyDelete
  23. Not convinced to vote for Biden or Trump in 2020 bc they sound like used car salesman. And I don't buy used cars.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Trump is well on his way to killing a quarter million Americans and sending the economy into a death spiral not seen since 1929. That trouble you any?

      Delete
    2. Let's nominate 7:18 for President. Slogan: Vote for 7:18! He's very, very, bigly pure and he doesn't buy used cars!

      Delete
    3. I think 7:18 won a contest that will fly him to Washington to do bleach shots with the president.

      Delete
    4. The real true colors of totalitarian mob bullies

      Delete
  24. We still have a lot of work to do for that to come to reality. Vote Blue in Nov y'all.

    ReplyDelete

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